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Montceau vs Strasbourg II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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CFA - Group A 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Montceau in this CFA - Group A 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montceau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Montceau
15%
Draws
37%
Strasbourg II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montceau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Montceau have won more games recently than Strasbourg II.
  • Strasbourg II are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular CFA - Group A 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Strasbourg II here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Montceau Clean Sheet 10%
Strasbourg II Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montceau Strasbourg II
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.26 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.51 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2009 National 1 - Group A
Montceau vs Strasbourg II
1:0
Sep 27, 2008 National 1 - Group A
Strasbourg II vs Montceau
2:1
Apr 26, 2008 National 1 - Group B
Montceau vs Strasbourg II
0:1
Dec 9, 2007 National 1 - Group B
Strasbourg II vs Montceau
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montceau 26 / 100
Strasbourg II 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montceau Strasbourg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strasbourg II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montceau scored in 69% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Strasbourg II conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Montceau has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montceau VS Strasbourg II
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montceau

(Home)
29 Nov
Montceau
0 : 2
Montpellier
15 Nov
Montceau
2 : 1
L'Etrat La Tour
04 Jan
Belfort
3 : 0
Montceau
07 Dec
Montceau
3 : 0
Besancon RC
16 Nov
Montceau
4 : 2
Geispolsheim
Page 1 of 7

Strasbourg II

(Away)
05 Aug
Virton
1 : 1
Strasbourg II
26 Feb
Freiburg II
0 : 4
Strasbourg II
28 Nov
Chelsea U21
1 : 4
Strasbourg II
29 May
Nancy II
4 : 1
Strasbourg II
22 May
Strasbourg II
2 : 3
Noisy Le Sec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Besancon RC 34 22 6 6 67:34 106
2 Compiegne 34 18 10 6 52:30 98
3 Mulhouse 34 18 8 8 46:32 95
4 Montceau 34 16 10 8 46:33 92
5 Colmar 34 14 12 8 33:29 88
6 Sochaux II 34 15 8 11 45:36 87
7 Dunkerque 34 12 13 9 43:39 83
8 Auxerre II 34 14 5 15 39:37 81
9 Lens II 34 12 9 13 45:40 79
10 Strasbourg II 34 11 11 12 34:35 78
11 Lille II 34 12 7 15 40:48 77
12 Raon L Etape 34 11 8 15 39:49 75
13 Senart-Moissy 34 9 10 15 24:32 71
14 Nancy II 34 7 15 12 32:41 70
15 Noisy Le Sec 34 9 9 16 31:43 70
16 Vesoul 34 8 11 15 39:49 69
17 Metz II 34 8 11 15 30:47 69
18 Sainte-Genevieve 34 5 7 22 28:59 56
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)