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Monte Azul vs Linense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Kayque
90'
Rodolfo P.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Monte Azul and Linense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Monte Azul
20%
Draws
74%
Linense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Linense have managed 1 goals a game lately — Monte Azul are scoring more at 1.09.
  • Win probability leans Linense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Monte Azul Clean Sheet 19%
Linense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Azul Linense
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 11
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Paulista A2
Monte Azul vs Linense
0:1
Jul 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Monte Azul vs Linense
2:0
Jun 25, 2025 Copa Paulista
Linense vs Monte Azul
0:0
Feb 21, 2024 Paulista A2
Linense vs Monte Azul
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Paulista A2
Monte Azul vs Linense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Azul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Linense Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayque
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Azul 10 / 100
Linense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Azul Linense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Azul found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Linense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Monte Azul stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Azul VS Linense
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Azul

(Home)
07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3
Monte Azul
04 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 2
Sertaozinho
01 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 1
Agua Santa
25 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 3
Juventus-SP
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Monte Azul
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Linense

(Away)
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
09 Aug
Linense
5 : 2
Gremio Prudente
03 Aug
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Linense
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)