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Monte Carlo vs Lai Chi

Macao Macao

Elite League 2016
Monte Carlo Logo

Monte Carlo

4 - 3
FT
Lai Chi Logo

Lai Chi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Monte Carlo in this Elite League 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monte Carlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Monte Carlo
15%
Draws
26%
Lai Chi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lai Chi haven't matched Monte Carlo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Monte Carlo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monte Carlo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 16%
Lai Chi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Carlo Lai Chi
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 2.85 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.15 5.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2018 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Monte Carlo
0:6
Feb 25, 2018 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Lai Chi
4:0
Jul 2, 2017 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Monte Carlo
1:9
Apr 9, 2017 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Lai Chi
9:2
May 19, 2016 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Lai Chi
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Carlo 84 / 100
Lai Chi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Carlo Lai Chi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Carlo found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Lai Chi conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Monte Carlo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Carlo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Carlo

(Home)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
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Lai Chi

(Away)
30 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 1
Lai Chi
22 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 7
Tak Chun Ka I
16 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 5
Sporting Macau
10 Jun
Policia
2 : 5
Lai Chi
01 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 6
Monte Carlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 17 1 0 78:4 52
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 13 2 3 46:12 41
3 Sporting Macau 18 11 4 3 50:15 37
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 79:19 35
5 Must IPO 18 10 3 5 42:17 33
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 39:46 19
7 Policia 18 3 3 12 17:57 12
8 Kei Lun 18 3 3 12 16:59 12
9 Casa de Portugal 18 2 4 12 19:92 10
10 Chuac Lun 18 0 4 14 10:75 4
Promotion - AFC Cup 2017 (Qualification)