Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Fong T. H.
16' Event
Fong T. H.
18' Event
Fong C. H.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2024 game between Monte Carlo and Tak Chun Ka I finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Carlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Monte Carlo
6%
Draws
4%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monte Carlo come out ahead of Tak Chun Ka I on wins alone.
  • Monte Carlo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monte Carlo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 68%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Carlo Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 4.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
8:1
May 4, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
4:2
May 7, 2023 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Monte Carlo
1:2
Mar 5, 2023 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Tak Chun Ka I
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Maronesi W.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fong T. H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Carlo 95 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Carlo Tak Chun Ka I

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Carlo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tak Chun Ka I conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Away concern: Tak Chun Ka I has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monte Carlo VS Tak Chun Ka I
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%