Sport Picks
Monte Roraima vs Aguia De Maraba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Norte Estadio Flamarion Vasconcelos (Canarinho), Boa Vista 
Match Events
14'
14'
PH
45'
45'
Gustavo Vintecinco
(Penalty)
48'
48'
Felipe Para
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-4. This leg finished 2-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguia De Maraba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Aguia De Maraba have won more games recently than Monte Roraima.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Aguia De Maraba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aguia De Maraba, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 10%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monte Roraima | Aguia De Maraba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2026 Copa Norte
Monte Roraima vs Aguia De Maraba
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monte Roraima Compare
Top Goalscorer Eydison
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Aguia De Maraba Compare
Top Goalscorer PH
1 Goals Assists Leader Felipe Para
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monte Roraima 30 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monte Roraima Aguia De Maraba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Monte Roraima found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Aguia De Maraba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Aguia De Maraba's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Monte Roraima VS Aguia De Maraba
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Monte Roraima
(Home) 28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0 Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2 Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1 Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2 Sao Raimundo RR
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2 Guapore
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1 Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2 Sao Raimundo RR
03 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2 Manaus FC
29 Apr
Monte Roraima
2 : 2 Amazonas
Page 1 of 3
Aguia De Maraba
(Away) 12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1 ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
23 May
Imperatriz
0 : 3 Aguia De Maraba
17 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Guapore | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Trem | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Remo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Galvez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:17 | 3 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
