Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monte Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Gilberto
86' Event
Eric Bahia

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2025 game between Monte Roraima and Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Roraima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Monte Roraima
15%
Draws
36%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monte Roraima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) haven't matched Monte Roraima's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Monte Roraima taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Monte Roraima have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Roraima Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 14 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.54 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
3:0
Feb 11, 2025 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1:0
Apr 30, 2024 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Monte Roraima
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Eric Bahia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Roraima 83 / 100
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Roraima Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Roraima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Roraima found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (37 games).

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Roraima VS Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1.25 Goals Scored 3
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Roraima

(Home)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

(Away)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
04 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
21 Feb
Monte Roraima
3 : 0
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
2 Bare 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
3 Monte Roraima 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Sao Raimundo RR 7 4 1 2 15:7 13
5 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Nautico FC 7 1 1 5 9:22 4
7 Atl. Roraima 7 0 3 4 3:20 3
8 Progresso 7 0 2 5 1:19 2
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)