Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monte Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Romarinho
79' Event
Gustavo Barbosa
89' Event
Arboleda J.

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense game between Monte Roraima and Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Roraima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Monte Roraima
6%
Draws
4%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Monte Roraima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monte Roraima come out ahead of Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) on wins alone.
  • Monte Roraima are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Monte Roraima have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Roraima Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.25 3
Goals Conceded 2.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
3:0
Feb 11, 2025 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1:0
Apr 30, 2024 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Monte Roraima
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Romarinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Barbosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Roraima 95 / 100
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Roraima Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Monte Roraima scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Roraima VS Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1.25 Goals Scored 3
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341