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Monte Roraima vs Atl. Roraima

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pedrinho
45' Event
Binho
79' Event
Nunes A. F.

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2024 game between Monte Roraima and Atl. Roraima finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Roraima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Monte Roraima
20%
Draws
16%
Atl. Roraima
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monte Roraima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monte Roraima come out ahead of Atl. Roraima on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Monte Roraima taking it.
  • Regular Roraimense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monte Roraima here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Roraima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Roraima Atl. Roraima
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.56 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.47 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Roraima
5:1
Mar 8, 2025 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Roraima
3:0
May 8, 2024 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Atl. Roraima
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Binho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Atl. Roraima Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Roraima 95 / 100
Atl. Roraima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Roraima Atl. Roraima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Roraima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atl. Roraima conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Monte Roraima scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Away concern: Atl. Roraima has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monte Roraima VS Atl. Roraima
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Roraima

(Home)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
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Atl. Roraima

(Away)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
21 Feb
Sao Raimundo RR
11 : 0
Atl. Roraima
14 Feb
Monte Roraima
5 : 1
Atl. Roraima
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 5 3 2 0 19:3 11
2 Nautico FC 5 2 3 0 11:3 9
3 Atl. Roraima 5 2 0 3 6:15 6
4 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 5 1 0 4 9:12 3
Promotion - Roraimense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 4 2 2 0 14:4 8
2 Monte Roraima 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 River Esporte Clube 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
4 Real Sao Luiz 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Progresso 4 0 0 4 0:27 0
Promotion - Roraimense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)