Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monte Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Teixeira C.
45' Event
Vanilson
(Penalty)
45' Event
Teixeira C.

AI Match Summary

Monte Roraima host Gremio Atletico Sampaio in the Roraimense. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Monte Roraima have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Gremio Atletico Sampaio's 0.88 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Monte Roraima have won 1 to Gremio Atletico Sampaio's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.38, favoring Gremio Atletico Sampaio. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Monte Roraima
33%
Draws
27%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Monte Roraima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gremio Atletico Sampaio has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Monte Roraima.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Monte Roraima.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Roraimense provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 17%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Roraima Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie D
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Monte Roraima
2:3
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D
Monte Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3:3
Apr 6, 2025 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Monte Roraima
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Germano L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanilson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martins L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Roraima 39 / 100
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Roraima Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Roraima scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Monte Roraima went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Roraima VS Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR862028:520
2Monte Roraima853018:818
3Gremio Atletico Sampaio852121:817
4Bare850317:715
5River Esporte Clube843122:815
6Progresso82068:256
7Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)82067:176
8Nautico FC81163:174
9Atl. Roraima80175:341