Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monte Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Teixeira C.
45' Event
Vanilson
(Penalty)
45' Event
Teixeira C.

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense game between Monte Roraima and Gremio Atletico Sampaio finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Monte Roraima
20%
Draws
40%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio Atletico Sampaio come out ahead of Monte Roraima on wins alone.
  • Model gives Monte Roraima a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Roraimense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 17%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monte Roraima Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Matches Played 37 42
Wins 15 22
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.62 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie D
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Monte Roraima
2:3
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D
Monte Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3:3
Apr 6, 2025 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Monte Roraima
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Germano L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanilson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martins L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monte Roraima 39 / 100
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monte Roraima Gremio Atletico Sampaio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Roraima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Roraima scored in 81% of their last 37 games.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio has conceded goals in 71% of their last 42 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monte Roraima VS Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monte Roraima

(Home)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
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Gremio Atletico Sampaio

(Away)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3
Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 8 6 2 0 28:5 20
2 Monte Roraima 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
4 Bare 8 5 0 3 17:7 15
5 River Esporte Clube 8 4 3 1 22:8 15
6 Progresso 8 2 0 6 8:25 6
7 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
8 Nautico FC 8 1 1 6 3:17 4
9 Atl. Roraima 8 0 1 7 5:34 1
Promotion - Roraimense (Play Offs)