Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Moreira F.
59'
59'
Luquinhas
61'
61'
Xandy
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guapore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guapore lately — more wins on the board than Monte Roraima.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Guapore arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Monte Roraima, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 14%
Guapore Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monte Roraima | Guapore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Guapore vs Monte Roraima
2:0
Jun 20, 2026 Serie D
Monte Roraima vs Guapore
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monte Roraima Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreira F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Luquinhas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Guapore Compare
Top Goalscorer Mano
1 Goals Assists Leader Lucas Vinicius
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monte Roraima 31 / 100
Guapore 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monte Roraima Guapore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guapore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Monte Roraima scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Guapore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Monte Roraima remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Monte Roraima VS Guapore
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Monte Roraima
(Home) 28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0 Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2 Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1 Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2 Sao Raimundo RR
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2 Guapore
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1 Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2 Sao Raimundo RR
03 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2 Manaus FC
29 Apr
Monte Roraima
2 : 2 Amazonas
Page 1 of 3
Guapore
(Away) 12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0 Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0 Guapore
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0 Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2 Guapore
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0 Guapore
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2 Guapore
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
23 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4 Guapore
17 May
Porto Velho
0 : 0 Guapore
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
