Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024

Cjarlins Muzane

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montebelluna play Cjarlins Muzane in the Serie D - Group C 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Montebelluna averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Cjarlins Muzane averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Montebelluna won 3, Cjarlins Muzane won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 28, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Montebelluna and 0.93 for Cjarlins Muzane. This points to a Montebelluna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Montebelluna

30%

Draws

29%

Cjarlins Muzane

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montebelluna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Montebelluna picked up more points recently compared to Cjarlins Muzane.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Montebelluna Clean Sheet 24%

Cjarlins Muzane Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montebelluna	Cjarlins Muzane
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	11	8
Draws	9	12
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.07	1.09
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C

Montebelluna vs Cjarlins Muzane

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group C

Cjarlins Muzane vs Montebelluna

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group C

Montebelluna vs Cjarlins Muzane

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sep 17, 2022 Serie D - Group C

Cjarlins Muzane vs Montebelluna

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Apr 9, 2022 Serie D - Group C

Montebelluna vs Cjarlins Muzane

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montebelluna Compare

Top Goalscorer Afi A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Biral N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Cjarlins Muzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Bussi M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montebelluna 42 / 100

Cjarlins Muzane 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montebelluna Cjarlins Muzane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Montebelluna or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Montebelluna attacking → ← attacking Cjarlins Muzane

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montebelluna scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Cjarlins Muzane let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Montebelluna went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cjarlins Muzane lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 36

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Clodiense	34	25	5	4	49:17	80
2	Dolomiti Bellunesi	34	19	9	6	56:25	66
3	Treviso	34	19	3	12	51:37	60
4	Bassano Virtus	34	15	9	10	35:30	54
5	Campodarsego	34	12	15	7	42:26	51
6	Este	34	13	12	9	44:33	51
7	Montecchio Maggiore	34	14	9	11	48:40	51
8	Adriese	34	13	11	10	54:41	50
9	Portogruaro	34	13	9	12	52:43	48
10	Mestre	34	13	9	12	34:37	48
11	Montebelluna	34	11	12	11	35:41	45
12	Chions	34	10	11	13	40:50	41
13	Luparense FC	34	10	9	15	38:41	39
14	Breno	34	8	13	13	39:49	37
15	Cjarlins Muzane	34	7	14	13	30:37	35
16	Castegnato	34	7	12	15	39:58	33
17	Virtus Bolzano	34	4	12	18	25:52	24
18	Mori	34	3	6	25	22:76	15