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Montebelluna vs Torviscosa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Gubellini M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 game between Montebelluna and Torviscosa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torviscosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Montebelluna
35%
Draws
32%
Torviscosa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montebelluna come out ahead of Torviscosa on wins alone.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 24%
Torviscosa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montebelluna Torviscosa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Torviscosa
0:1
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Torviscosa vs Montebelluna
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montebelluna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Torviscosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gubellini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montebelluna 37 / 100
Torviscosa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montebelluna Torviscosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torviscosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montebelluna scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Torviscosa let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Montebelluna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montebelluna VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montebelluna

(Home)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 7

Torviscosa

(Away)
21 May
Torviscosa
0 : 0
Portogruaro
07 May
Cartigliano
1 : 1
Torviscosa
30 Apr
Torviscosa
0 : 1
Virtus Bolzano
23 Apr
Torviscosa
2 : 2
Villafranca
16 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
2 : 2
Torviscosa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legnago Salus 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
2 Clodiense 34 15 13 6 46:31 58
3 Adriese 34 14 14 6 54:38 56
4 Campodarsego 34 14 12 8 50:40 54
5 Luparense FC 34 13 14 7 49:34 53
6 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 14 7 53:43 53
7 Este 34 13 11 10 47:39 50
8 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 15 8 38:36 48
9 Caldiero Terme 34 12 12 10 42:41 48
10 Cartigliano 34 11 13 10 47:50 46
11 Mestre 34 12 7 15 46:42 43
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 11 10 13 42:47 43
13 Montecchio Maggiore 34 10 9 15 50:55 39
14 Torviscosa 34 8 12 14 31:46 36
15 Portogruaro 34 9 8 17 36:56 35
16 Villafranca 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
17 Montebelluna 34 8 7 19 35:61 31
18 Levico Terme 34 5 14 15 23:41 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)