Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montecasillas vs Muleno CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Riquelme I.
75' Event
Riquelme I.
77' Event
Almagro J.

AI Match Summary

Montecasillas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montecasillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Montecasillas
30%
Draws
47%
Muleno CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muleno CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Muleno CF haven't matched Montecasillas's recent run of results.
  • Muleno CF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Montecasillas Clean Sheet 19%
Muleno CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecasillas Muleno CF
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 5
Draws 2 12
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Montecasillas vs Muleno CF
2:1
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Montecasillas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecasillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Riquelme I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Muleno CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Almagro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecasillas 10 / 100
Muleno CF 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecasillas Muleno CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muleno CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muleno CF let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Montecasillas scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Montecasillas stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Muleno CF
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecasillas

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
04 May
Montecasillas
1 : 3
Molinense
01 May
Caravaca
8 : 0
Montecasillas
27 Apr
Montecasillas
1 : 7
Lorca Deportiva
21 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 0
Montecasillas
Page 1 of 6

Muleno CF

(Away)
10 May
Muleno CF
1 : 6
Ciudad Cieza
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Muleno CF
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
19 Apr
Muleno CF
1 : 1
Mazarron FC
12 Apr
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 1
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)