Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montecchio Maggiore vs Bassano Virtus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Visinoni N.

AI Match Summary

Bassano Virtus in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bassano Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Montecchio Maggiore
35%
Draws
58%
Bassano Virtus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bassano Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bassano Virtus have won more games recently than Montecchio Maggiore.
  • Bassano Virtus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bassano Virtus have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 18%
Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecchio Maggiore Bassano Virtus
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 13
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.73 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Bassano Virtus
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Montecchio Maggiore
2:1
Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Montecchio Maggiore
4:5
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Bassano Virtus
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Bassano Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Visinoni N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecchio Maggiore 10 / 100
Bassano Virtus 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecchio Maggiore Bassano Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bassano Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Montecchio Maggiore found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Bassano Virtus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Montecchio Maggiore stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bassano Virtus
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecchio Maggiore

(Home)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

Bassano Virtus

(Away)
04 Oct
Legnago Salus
0 : 2
Bassano Virtus
27 Sept
Bassano Virtus
2 : 0
Schio
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)