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Montecchio Maggiore vs Dolomiti Bellunesi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Olonisakin T.
34' Event
Alcides E.
42' Event
Diallo C.

AI Match Summary

Dolomiti Bellunesi in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dolomiti Bellunesi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Montecchio Maggiore
35%
Draws
49%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dolomiti Bellunesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Dolomiti Bellunesi have won more games recently than Montecchio Maggiore.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Dolomiti Bellunesi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dolomiti Bellunesi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 22%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montecchio Maggiore Dolomiti Bellunesi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1:3
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Montecchio Maggiore
2:1
Apr 3, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1:2
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:2
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Montecchio Maggiore
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavaliere G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Olonisakin T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alcides E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecchio Maggiore 24 / 100
Dolomiti Bellunesi 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montecchio Maggiore Dolomiti Bellunesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dolomiti Bellunesi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Dolomiti Bellunesi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Montecchio Maggiore found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Montecchio Maggiore remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Montecchio Maggiore

(Home)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

Dolomiti Bellunesi

(Away)
04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Novara
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)