Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023

Montecchio Maggiore

1 - 2

Villafranca

Our Tip

Match Events

Pegoraro T.

79'

Seno M.

Own Goal

84'

Malavasi J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villafranca in this Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Montecchio Maggiore

20%

Draws

38%

Villafranca

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montecchio Maggiore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Villafranca haven't matched Montecchio Maggiore's recent run of results.
42% — that's where the model lands on Montecchio Maggiore taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Montecchio Maggiore have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 27%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 20%

Villafranca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Montecchio Maggiore	Villafranca
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	6	5
Draws	6	9
Losses	21	16
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group C

Montecchio Maggiore vs Villafranca

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

5:0

Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group C

Montecchio Maggiore vs Villafranca

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group C

Villafranca vs Montecchio Maggiore

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Top Goalscorer Pegoraro T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Villafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Malavasi J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montecchio Maggiore 42 / 100

Villafranca 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Montecchio Maggiore Villafranca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villafranca has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Villafranca has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Montecchio Maggiore's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Montecchio Maggiore VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legnago Salus	34	17	9	8	48:26	60
2	Clodiense	34	15	13	6	46:31	58
3	Adriese	34	14	14	6	54:38	56
4	Campodarsego	34	14	12	8	50:40	54
5	Luparense FC	34	13	14	7	49:34	53
6	Virtus Bolzano	34	13	14	7	53:43	53
7	Este	34	13	11	10	47:39	50
8	Cjarlins Muzane	34	11	15	8	38:36	48
9	Caldiero Terme	34	12	12	10	42:41	48
10	Cartigliano	34	11	13	10	47:50	46
11	Mestre	34	12	7	15	46:42	43
12	Dolomiti Bellunesi	34	11	10	13	42:47	43
13	Montecchio Maggiore	34	10	9	15	50:55	39
14	Torviscosa	34	8	12	14	31:46	36
15	Portogruaro	34	9	8	17	36:56	35
16	Villafranca	34	8	10	16	35:46	34
17	Montebelluna	34	8	7	19	35:61	31
18	Levico Terme	34	5	14	15	23:41	29