Sport Picks
Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City
Japan
J2 League ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo 
Match Events
20'
20'
Disaro A. S.
(Penalty)
35'
35'
Simmons A.
46'
46'
Sub
Koike Y. In: Masukake Y.
Out: Koike Y.
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Montedio Yamagata and Tochigi City finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montedio Yamagata.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montedio Yamagata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tochigi City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Montedio Yamagata are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Tochigi City have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 19%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montedio Yamagata | Tochigi City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 18 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City
2:0
May 16, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi City vs Montedio Yamagata
3:0
Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montedio Yamagata Compare
Top Goalscorer Kawana R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Tochigi City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montedio Yamagata 76 / 100
Tochigi City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montedio Yamagata Tochigi City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montedio Yamagata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: Tochigi City registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Montedio Yamagata's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Tochigi City let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Montedio Yamagata VS Tochigi City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Montedio Yamagata
(Home) 03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
05 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Kofu
26 Aug
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 5 Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 4
Tochigi City
(Away) 03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2 Imabari
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0 Tochigi City
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4 Tochigi City
02 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 2 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 3 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5:14 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 7 |
| 20 | Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 7 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
