Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montegiorgio vs Cynthialbalonga Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Cappai R.

AI Match Summary

Cynthialbalonga in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cynthialbalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Montegiorgio
20%
Draws
50%
Cynthialbalonga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cynthialbalonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Montegiorgio haven't matched Cynthialbalonga's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Cynthialbalonga taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cynthialbalonga have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 19%
Cynthialbalonga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montegiorgio Cynthialbalonga
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.67 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Cynthialbalonga
0:1
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Cynthialbalonga vs Montegiorgio
1:0
Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Cynthialbalonga
0:0
Oct 4, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Cynthialbalonga vs Montegiorgio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montegiorgio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Cynthialbalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Cappai R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montegiorgio 20 / 100
Cynthialbalonga 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montegiorgio Cynthialbalonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cynthialbalonga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cynthialbalonga conceded in 63% of 40 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Montegiorgio's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Montegiorgio remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cynthialbalonga
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montegiorgio

(Home)
14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0
Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1
Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1
Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 6

Cynthialbalonga

(Away)
04 May
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 0
Cynthialbalonga
13 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
0 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Apr
Olbia
3 : 1
Cynthialbalonga
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)