Sport Picks
Montegiorgio vs Notaresco Calcio
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Montegiorgio and Notaresco Calcio finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notaresco Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Montegiorgio haven't matched Notaresco Calcio's recent run of results.
- Montegiorgio are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 19%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montegiorgio | Notaresco Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Montegiorgio
2:1
Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Notaresco Calcio
0:0
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Montegiorgio
0:0
May 11, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Notaresco Calcio
2:1
Dec 18, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Montegiorgio
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montegiorgio 36 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montegiorgio Notaresco Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Notaresco Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Notaresco Calcio lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Montegiorgio scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
- VS Notaresco Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Montegiorgio
(Home) 14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1 Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1 Montegiorgio
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1 Matese
06 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 0 Termoli
19 Mar
Montegiorgio
0 : 2 Roma City
05 Mar
Montegiorgio
0 : 0 Trastevere Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Notaresco Calcio
(Away) 20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineto | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 50:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 62 |
| 4 | Fano | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 45:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 32:23 | 52 |
| 6 | Matese | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 28:27 | 45 |
| 10 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 11 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:44 | 42 |
| 12 | Avezzano | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:41 | 40 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Vastese | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 37:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Termoli | 34 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 16 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 21:34 | 31 |
| 18 | US Tolentino | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 25:41 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)
