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Montegiorgio vs Roma City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Zammarchi A.
90' Event
Rasi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Montegiorgio and Roma City finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roma City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Montegiorgio
20%
Draws
50%
Roma City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roma City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Roma City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Montegiorgio Clean Sheet 24%
Roma City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montegiorgio Roma City
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.67 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Roma City
0:2
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Montegiorgio
0:1
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Montegiorgio
0:3
Oct 10, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Montegiorgio vs Roma City
2:3
Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Montegiorgio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montegiorgio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Roma City Compare

Top Goalscorer Zammarchi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rasi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montegiorgio 37 / 100
Roma City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montegiorgio Roma City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roma City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Roma City conceded in 68% of 41 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Montegiorgio's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Montegiorgio remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Roma City
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montegiorgio

(Home)
14 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Montegiorgio
07 May
Montegiorgio
2 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
30 Apr
Vastogirardi
2 : 0
Montegiorgio
23 Apr
Montegiorgio
0 : 1
Matese
16 Apr
Fano
3 : 1
Montegiorgio
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Roma City

(Away)
11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0
Roma City
04 May
Roma City
1 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Roma City
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0
Roma City
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)