Sport Picks
Montego Bay vs Arnett Gardens
Jamaica
Premier League 2025/2026 Wespow Park, Montego Bay 
Match Events
20'
20'
Brown B.
86'
86'
Thomas R.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnett Gardens
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arnett Gardens average 1.97 goals a game right now, well clear of Montego Bay's 1.9.
- Arnett Gardens are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montego Bay | Arnett Gardens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Arnett Gardens
1:1
Dec 16, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay
0:1
May 23, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay
4:2
Mar 18, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Arnett Gardens
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montego Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Arnett Gardens Compare
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montego Bay 10 / 100
Arnett Gardens 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montego Bay Arnett Gardens
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arnett Gardens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Montego Bay scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Arnett Gardens has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Montego Bay remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Montego Bay VS Arnett Gardens
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Montego Bay
(Home) 27 Sept
Racing United
0 : 1 Montego Bay
20 Sept
Montego Bay
0 : 0 Tru-Juice FC
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0 Chapelton
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3 Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2 Cavalier
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Montego Bay
0 : 0 Tru-Juice FC
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0 Chapelton
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3 Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2 Cavalier
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2 Treasure Beach
Page 1 of 4
Arnett Gardens
(Away) 27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2 Arnett Gardens
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0 FC Dunbeholden
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2 Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7 Arnett Gardens
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0 Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2 Arnett Gardens
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2 Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7 Arnett Gardens
26 Apr
Portmore
1 : 2 Arnett Gardens
19 Apr
Molynes United
3 : 0 Arnett Gardens
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mount Pleasant | 39 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 69:25 | 74 |
| 2 | Montego Bay | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 79:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Portmore | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 54:35 | 66 |
| 4 | Waterhouse | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 51:32 | 65 |
| 5 | Cavalier | 39 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 57:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Racing United | 39 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 53:34 | 60 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 68:46 | 58 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 39 | 14 | 7 | 18 | 42:57 | 49 |
| 9 | FC Dunbeholden | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 40:53 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 37:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 43:59 | 43 |
| 12 | Molynes United | 39 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 45:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 53:73 | 39 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 39 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 25:111 | 26 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
