Sport Picks

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Montego Bay vs Mount Pleasant

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Wespow Park, Montego Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Angelo E.
66' Event
Brown B.
71'
Gabriel G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Mount Pleasant advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Montego Bay
6%
Draws
90%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mount Pleasant carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mount Pleasant taking it.
  • Mount Pleasant arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mount Pleasant, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montego Bay Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 14 19
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Mount Pleasant
2:3
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
2:1
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
2:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montego Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelo E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Howell J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montego Bay 10 / 100
Mount Pleasant 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montego Bay Mount Pleasant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montego Bay found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mount Pleasant let in goals in 58% of their last 36 matches.

Montego Bay went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montego Bay VS Mount Pleasant
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montego Bay

(Home)
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
06 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Montego Bay
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
Page 1 of 7

Mount Pleasant

(Away)
25 Jul
Mount Pleasant
:
All Saints United
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
20 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 4
Portmore
18 May
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
06 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Montego Bay
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mount Pleasant-
TBD-
Portmore5
Racing United3
Montego Bay-
TBD-
Waterhouse2
Cavalier4
Semi-finals
Mount Pleasant3
Portmore4
Montego Bay1
Cavalier2
Final
Portmore3
Cavalier2
Mount Pleasant3
Montego Bay2