Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montego Bay vs Mount Pleasant

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Wespow Park, Montego Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Angelo E.
66' Event
Brown B.
71'
Gabriel G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Mount Pleasant advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Montego Bay
15%
Draws
46%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mount Pleasant carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Montego Bay taking it.
  • Mount Pleasant arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mount Pleasant, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montego Bay Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 32 41
Wins 15 21
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.94 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Mount Pleasant
2:3
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
2:1
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
2:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montego Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelo E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Howell J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montego Bay 40 / 100
Mount Pleasant 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montego Bay Mount Pleasant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montego Bay found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Mount Pleasant has conceded goals in 60% of their last 40 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Montego Bay went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montego Bay VS Mount Pleasant
1.29 Goals Scored 2
1.86 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montego Bay

(Home)
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0
Chapelton
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
06 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Montego Bay
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Mount Pleasant

(Away)
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
18 Aug
Mount Pleasant
1 : 2
Cibao
02 Aug
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Delfines Del Este
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mount Pleasant -
TBD -
Portmore 5
Racing United 3
Montego Bay -
TBD -
Waterhouse 2
Cavalier 4
Semi-finals
Mount Pleasant 3
Portmore 4
Montego Bay 1
Cavalier 2
Final
Portmore 3
Cavalier 2
Mount Pleasant 3
Montego Bay 2