Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 game between Montehermoso and Don Alvaro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Don Alvaro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Don Alvaro come out ahead of Montehermoso on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montehermoso | Don Alvaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.78 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montehermoso Compare
Don Alvaro Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Don Alvaro let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Montehermoso scored in 63% of their last 32 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Don Alvaro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Montehermoso
(Home)Don Alvaro
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:13 | 76 |
| 2 | CD Coria | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 58:20 | 69 |
| 3 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 4 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:26 | 55 |
| 5 | Moralo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Castuera | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:37 | 52 |
| 7 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 50:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Jaraiz | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 51:52 | 46 |
| 9 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 35:45 | 43 |
| 10 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 40:52 | 42 |
| 11 | Jerez CF | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 41:52 | 42 |
| 12 | Olivenza FC | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:41 | 41 |
| 13 | Arroyo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 14 | CF Trujillo | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:38 | 38 |
| 15 | Don Alvaro | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 30:50 | 32 |
| 16 | RCP Valverdeno | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:58 | 32 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33:63 | 32 |
| 18 | Fuente de Cantos | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 28:59 | 25 |