Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Bancalero Garrido J. F.
45'
45'
Quijada C.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Montehermoso and Jerez CF finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerez CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jerez CF come out ahead of Montehermoso on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Jerez CF's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 16%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montehermoso | Jerez CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 14 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Montehermoso
5:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs Jerez CF
1:1
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Montehermoso
2:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs Jerez CF
2:0
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs Jerez CF
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montehermoso Compare
Top Goalscorer Quijada C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Jerez CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Bancalero Garrido J. F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montehermoso 10 / 100
Jerez CF 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montehermoso Jerez CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jerez CF let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Montehermoso found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Away concern: Jerez CF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Montehermoso VS Jerez CF
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Montehermoso
(Home) 10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3 Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1 Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2 AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3 Villanovense
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2 AD Llerenense
05 Apr
Montehermoso
1 : 0 Pueblonuevo
22 Mar
Montehermoso
1 : 2 Moralo
08 Mar
Montehermoso
1 : 0 SP Villafranca
Page 1 of 3
Jerez CF
(Away) 06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0 Jerez CF
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2 Don Benito
Page 1 of 6
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0 Jerez CF
12 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
3 : 0 Jerez CF
28 Mar
AD Llerenense
1 : 1 Jerez CF
15 Mar
CD Badajoz
5 : 4 Jerez CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
