Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montehermoso vs Miajadas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
Montehermoso Logo

Montehermoso

1 - 2
FT
Miajadas Logo

Miajadas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 game between Montehermoso and Miajadas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miajadas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Montehermoso
20%
Draws
40%
Miajadas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Montehermoso and Miajadas close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Montehermoso are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 17%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montehermoso Miajadas
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.81 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs Miajadas
1:2
Sep 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Montehermoso
0:0
May 2, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Montehermoso
0:0
Jan 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs Miajadas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montehermoso 41 / 100
Miajadas 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montehermoso Miajadas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miajadas has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Montehermoso scored in 61% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Miajadas registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montehermoso VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montehermoso

(Home)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2
AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 8

Miajadas

(Away)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)