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Montehermoso vs UP Plasencia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
Montehermoso Logo

Montehermoso

2 - 2
FT
UP Plasencia Logo

UP Plasencia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Montehermoso
30%
Draws
47%
UP Plasencia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UP Plasencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • UP Plasencia haven't matched Montehermoso's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 24%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montehermoso UP Plasencia
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.84 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs UP Plasencia
2:2
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Montehermoso
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montehermoso 33 / 100
UP Plasencia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montehermoso UP Plasencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Plasencia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montehermoso found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (38 games).

UP Plasencia let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

UP Plasencia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montehermoso VS UP Plasencia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Montehermoso

(Home)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2
AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0
Montehermoso
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UP Plasencia

(Away)
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
24 Aug
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
Moralo
12 Aug
CF Trujillo
3 : 0
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)