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Montenegro U16 vs Bulgaria U16 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Djokaj M.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Rusinov B.
56' Event
Jovovic V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Montenegro U16
15%
Draws
37%
Bulgaria U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montenegro U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montenegro U16 lately — more wins on the board than Bulgaria U16.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Montenegro U16 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Montenegro U16 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Montenegro U16 Clean Sheet 14%
Bulgaria U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U16 Bulgaria U16
Matches Played 27 21
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2024 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs Bulgaria U16
2:2
Aug 20, 2024 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs Bulgaria U16
2:0
May 9, 2023 Friendly International
Montenegro U16 vs Bulgaria U16
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovovic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

Bulgaria U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rusinov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blagojev P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U16 39 / 100
Bulgaria U16 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U16 Bulgaria U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro U16 found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Bulgaria U16's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Montenegro U16 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U16 VS Bulgaria U16
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro U16

(Home)
12 May
Montenegro U16
2 : 1
North Macedonia U16
09 May
Montenegro U16
1 : 3
Serbia U16
07 May
Montenegro U16
3 : 0
Slovakia U16
10 Apr
Serbia U16
2 : 1
Montenegro U16
08 Apr
Montenegro U16
2 : 0
Hungary U16
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Bulgaria U16

(Away)
16 Apr
Bulgaria U16
3 : 2
Latvia U16
13 Apr
Bosnia & Herzegovina U16
1 : 0
Bulgaria U16
11 Apr
Bulgaria U16
3 : 1
Luxembourg U16
22 Aug
Montenegro U16
2 : 2
Bulgaria U16
20 Aug
Montenegro U16
2 : 0
Bulgaria U16
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