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Montenegro U18 vs Azerbaijan U18

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Roganovic J.
47' Event
Roganovic J.

AI Match Summary

Montenegro U18 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montenegro U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Montenegro U18
39%
Draws
31%
Azerbaijan U18
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Azerbaijan U18 lately — more wins on the board than Montenegro U18.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Montenegro U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Azerbaijan U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U18 Azerbaijan U18
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2024 Friendly International
Montenegro U18 vs Azerbaijan U18
1:2
Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International
Montenegro U18 vs Azerbaijan U18
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Roganovic J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Azerbaijan U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U18 31 / 100
Azerbaijan U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U18 Azerbaijan U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montenegro U18 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Azerbaijan U18 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Montenegro U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U18 VS Azerbaijan U18
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%