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Montenegro U18 vs Uzbekistan U18

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Saidnurualajev S.
13' Event
Komilov M.
33' Event
Krivokapic N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2022 game between Montenegro U18 and Uzbekistan U18 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uzbekistan U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Montenegro U18
39%
Draws
31%
Uzbekistan U18
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U18 haven't matched Montenegro U18's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Montenegro U18 Clean Sheet 15%
Uzbekistan U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U18 Uzbekistan U18
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2022 Friendly International
Montenegro U18 vs Uzbekistan U18
2:0
Aug 30, 2022 Friendly International
Montenegro U18 vs Uzbekistan U18
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Uzbekistan U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saidnurualajev S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Komilov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U18 30 / 100
Uzbekistan U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U18 Uzbekistan U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 12 matches.

Montenegro U18's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Montenegro U18 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U18 VS Uzbekistan U18
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%