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Stadium Background

Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 DG Arena, Podgorica
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Perisic V.
Assist: Ljutica V.
24'
Vardanyan E.
36'
Zekovic A.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Montenegro U21 and Armenia U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Montenegro U21
35%
Draws
13%
Armenia U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montenegro U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Montenegro U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Montenegro U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Montenegro U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Armenia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U21 Armenia U21
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 1
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.34 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21
1:1
Nov 14, 2025 Euro U21
Armenia U21 vs Montenegro U21
1:2
Mar 22, 2024 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21
0:0
Sep 12, 2023 Euro U21
Armenia U21 vs Montenegro U21
0:1
Sep 10, 2012 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perisic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Armenia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakobyan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U21 58 / 100
Armenia U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U21 Armenia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armenia U21 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Montenegro U21 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Montenegro U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Armenia U21 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U21 VS Armenia U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro U21

(Home)
05 Oct
Montenegro U21
1 : 1
Armenia U21
01 Oct
North Macedonia U21
1 : 1
Montenegro U21
05 Jun
Montenegro U21
1 : 1
Cyprus U21
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
Page 1 of 7

Armenia U21

(Away)
05 Oct
Montenegro U21
1 : 1
Armenia U21
01 Oct
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Italy U21
31 Mar
Armenia U21
0 : 2
North Macedonia U21
27 Mar
Poland U21
4 : 1
Armenia U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)