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Montenegro U21 vs North Macedonia U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Tusko, Tuzi
Montenegro U21 Logo

Montenegro U21

3 - 2
FT
North Macedonia U21 Logo

North Macedonia U21

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Meljichi A.
Assist: Hamza M.
19'
Knezevic L.
46'
Sub
Krivokapic N. In: Radusinovic B.
Out: Krivokapic N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montenegro U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montenegro U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Montenegro U21
35%
Draws
13%
North Macedonia U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montenegro U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montenegro U21 lately — more wins on the board than North Macedonia U21.
  • Win probability leans Montenegro U21's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Montenegro U21 Clean Sheet 68%
North Macedonia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro U21 North Macedonia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.3 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Euro U21
North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21
1:1
Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs North Macedonia U21
3:2
Nov 17, 2020 Euro U21
North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21
2:1
Oct 10, 2019 Euro U21
Montenegro U21 vs North Macedonia U21
1:2
Mar 24, 2017 Friendly International
North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perisic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jukovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

North Macedonia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Meljichi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trajkov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro U21 86 / 100
North Macedonia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro U21 North Macedonia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: North Macedonia U21 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Montenegro U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro U21 VS North Macedonia U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro U21

(Home)
05 Oct
Montenegro U21
1 : 1
Armenia U21
01 Oct
North Macedonia U21
1 : 1
Montenegro U21
05 Jun
Montenegro U21
1 : 1
Cyprus U21
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
Page 1 of 6

North Macedonia U21

(Away)
05 Oct
Sweden U21
2 : 0
North Macedonia U21
01 Oct
North Macedonia U21
1 : 1
Montenegro U21
28 Sept
North Macedonia U21
2 : 3
Russia U21
26 Aug
North Macedonia U21
1 : 5
Morocco U20
24 Aug
Turkey U20
3 : 0
North Macedonia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)