Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montenegro W vs Lithuania W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Trening kamp FSCG, Podgorica
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kuc A.
Assist: Toskovic A.
10'
Mikutaite A.
27'
Djurkovic T.

AI Match Summary

Montenegro W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montenegro W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Montenegro W
30%
Draws
62%
Lithuania W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lithuania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Montenegro W at 2 per game, Lithuania W at 1.21.
  • Lithuania W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Montenegro W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Montenegro W Clean Sheet 10%
Lithuania W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montenegro W Lithuania W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 2 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Lithuania W vs Montenegro W
0:1
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Montenegro W vs Lithuania W
3:1
Apr 9, 2013 World Cup Women
Lithuania W vs Montenegro W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montenegro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuc A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lithuania W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galkina M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montenegro W 10 / 100
Lithuania W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montenegro W Lithuania W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montenegro W scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Lithuania W conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Montenegro W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montenegro W VS Lithuania W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montenegro W

(Home)
09 Jun
Albania W
5 : 2
Montenegro W
05 Jun
Montenegro W
1 : 1
Wales W
18 Apr
Montenegro W
1 : 4
Czech Republic W
14 Apr
Czech Republic W
5 : 0
Montenegro W
07 Mar
Wales W
6 : 1
Montenegro W
Page 1 of 6

Lithuania W

(Away)
09 Jun
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Liechtenstein W
05 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
0 : 0
Lithuania W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
07 Mar
Lithuania W
0 : 0
Estonia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia W 6 6 0 0 27:1 18
2 Faroe Islands W 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Moldova W 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 0:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta W 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Cyprus W 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Georgia W 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
4 Andorra W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luxembourg W 6 5 1 0 20:6 16
2 Kazakhstan W 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Armenia W 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 1 5 5:26 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Azerbaijan W 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
3 Lithuania W 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Estonia W 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
3 Bulgaria W 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Latvia W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Kosovo W 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 North Macedonia W 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams