Sport Picks
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive
USA
USL Championship Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, CA 
Match Events
23'
23'
Sub
Mora-Mora S. In: Romero A.
Out: Mora-Mora S.
46'
46'
Twumasi K.
75'
75'
Sub
Leggett W. In: Blancas E.
Out: Leggett W.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Monterey Bay and El Paso Locomotive finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterey Bay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Paso Locomotive
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and El Paso Locomotive come out ahead of Monterey Bay on wins alone.
- Model gives El Paso Locomotive a 58% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 10%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monterey Bay | El Paso Locomotive |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive
0:3
Aug 17, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monterey Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Paul I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monterey Bay 10 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monterey Bay El Paso Locomotive
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monterey Bay found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
El Paso Locomotive let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Monterey Bay remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Monterey Bay VS El Paso Locomotive
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Monterey Bay
(Home) 19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
09 Aug
Monterey Bay
2 : 5 New Mexico
26 Jul
Monterey Bay
1 : 2 Orange County SC
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 3
El Paso Locomotive
(Away) 20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
27 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
23 Aug
Colorado Springs
0 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
23 Aug
Colorado Springs
0 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
16 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
02 Aug
Orange County SC
2 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40:37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 37 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 29:28 | 37 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:43 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
