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Monterey Bay vs Irvine Zeta

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US Open Cup 2024 Cardinale Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Monterey Bay play Irvine Zeta in the US Open Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Monterey Bay averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Irvine Zeta averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Monterey Bay won 1, Irvine Zeta won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Monterey Bay and 1.31 for Irvine Zeta. This points to a Irvine Zeta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Monterey Bay
21%
Draws
49%
Irvine Zeta
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Irvine Zeta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Monterey Bay picked up more points recently compared to Irvine Zeta.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 18%
Irvine Zeta Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterey Bay Irvine Zeta
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2024 US Open Cup
Monterey Bay vs Irvine Zeta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterey Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayon J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Irvine Zeta Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterey Bay 31 / 100
Irvine Zeta 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterey Bay Irvine Zeta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Irvine Zeta or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Monterey Bay attacking → ← attacking Irvine Zeta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterey Bay scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Irvine Zeta let in goals in 43% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Monterey Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Irvine Zeta lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 46
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00