Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monterey Bay vs Irvine Zeta

USA USA

US Open Cup 2024 Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Lara A.
32' Event
Ayon J.
Assist: Baca R.
37'
Sub
Espinoza R. In: Salceda M. A.
Out: Espinoza R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Monterey Bay advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Monterey Bay
20%
Draws
65%
Irvine Zeta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Irvine Zeta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Irvine Zeta come out ahead of Monterey Bay on wins alone.
  • Model gives Irvine Zeta a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Irvine Zeta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Monterey Bay, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Irvine Zeta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterey Bay Irvine Zeta
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.23 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2024 US Open Cup
Monterey Bay vs Irvine Zeta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterey Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayon J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Irvine Zeta Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterey Bay 10 / 100
Irvine Zeta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterey Bay Irvine Zeta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irvine Zeta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterey Bay found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Irvine Zeta let in goals in 43% of their last 23 matches.

Monterey Bay went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterey Bay VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterey Bay

(Home)
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Lexington
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0
Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1
Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6

Irvine Zeta

(Away)
20 Oct
LA Force
2 : 1
Irvine Zeta
13 Oct
Irvine Zeta
3 : 0
Michigan Stars
23 Sept
Irvine Zeta
3 : 0
Arizona Monsoon
16 Sept
Irvine Zeta
0 : 2
LA Force
09 Sept
Arizona Monsoon
0 : 3
Irvine Zeta
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Western Pioneers 0
Union Omaha 4
Capo 2
Menace 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
El Paso Locomotive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tulsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids 2 3
Azteca 0
Tulsa Athletic 1
Northern Colorado 4
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apotheos 1
Georgia Lions 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves 4
Brockton United 2
FC Dallas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Memphis 901 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chattanooga 0
Miami United 1
Frenzi 2
Club de Lyon 3
Charleston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miami FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
South Georgia Tormenta 1
America CFL Spurs 0
Brave SC 0
Savannah Clovers 2
Atlanta United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vereinigung Erzgebirge 0
Charlotte Independence 2
Crown Legacy 0
South Carolina United Heat 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire II 6
Chicago City 0
Forward Madison 2
Duluth FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Detroit City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago House 0
Minnesota United 2 3
Steel City 0
Michigan Stars 1
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monterey Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventura County 2
Irvine Zeta 2 1
Irvine Zeta 1
MesoAmerica 0
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oakland Roots -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Timbers 2 1
El Farolito 2
Folsom 1
Central Valley Fuego 2
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Louisville City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 0
One Knoxville 2
South Carolina United Bantams 0
Greenville Triumph 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vermont Green 4
Lexington 3
Carolina Core 3
Northern Virginia 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
Las Vegas Lights -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballard 0
Spokane Velocity 1
LA Force 2
Redlands United FC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 1
Christos 0
West Chester United 0
Maryland Bobcats 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loudoun United -
Hartford Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Motown 0
New York City II 3
New York Red Bulls II 5
Hudson Valley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
New Mexico -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lubbock Matadors 2
Arizona Monsoon 1
Austin FC II 2
Foro 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
1/64-finals
Union Omaha 3
Menace 1
TBD -
El Paso Locomotive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tulsa -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids 2 2
Northern Colorado 3
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion -
TBD -
Apotheos 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves 1
FC Dallas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Memphis 901 -
TBD -
Miami United 2
Club de Lyon 0
Charleston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miami FC -
TBD -
South Georgia Tormenta 4
Savannah Clovers 0
Atlanta United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 1
South Carolina United Heat 0
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire II 2
Forward Madison 0
TBD -
Indy Eleven -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Detroit City -
TBD -
Minnesota United 2 0
Michigan Stars 2
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monterey Bay -
TBD -
Ventura County 0
Irvine Zeta 3
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oakland Roots -
TBD -
El Farolito 2
Central Valley Fuego 1
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Louisville City -
TBD -
One Knoxville 2
Greenville Triumph 3
TBD -
TBD -
Vermont Green 1
Carolina Core 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
Las Vegas Lights -
TBD -
Spokane Velocity 1
LA Force 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 5
Maryland Bobcats 2
TBD -
Loudoun United -
Hartford Athletic -
TBD -
New York City II 4
New York Red Bulls II 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
New Mexico -
TBD -
Lubbock Matadors 2
Foro 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
1/32-finals
Union Omaha 1
El Paso Locomotive 0
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
FC Tulsa 2
Northern Colorado 1
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion 4
Chattanooga Red Wolves 2
FC Dallas -
TBD -
Memphis 901 2
Miami United 0
Charleston -
TBD -
Miami FC 2
South Georgia Tormenta 4
Atlanta United -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 5
Rhode Island 4
Chicago Fire II 0
Indy Eleven 1
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
Detroit City 1
Michigan Stars 0
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
Monterey Bay 2
Irvine Zeta 1
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Oakland Roots 2
El Farolito 1
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
Louisville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
North Carolina FC 1
Carolina Core 0
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
Las Vegas Lights 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 0
Loudoun United 1
Hartford Athletic 2
New York City II 3
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
New Mexico 3
Lubbock Matadors 1
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
1/16-finals
Union Omaha 1
Sporting Kansas City 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0
FC Tulsa 1
Tampa Bay 6
Birmingham Legion 4
FC Dallas 1
Memphis 901 0
Charleston 3
South Georgia Tormenta 2
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte Independence 0
Indy Eleven 2
San Antonio FC 0
Houston Dynamo 3
Detroit City 4
Sacramento Republic 2
Monterey Bay 0
San Jose Earthquakes 1
Oakland Roots 0
Seattle Sounders 3
Louisville City 2
North Carolina FC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
Las Vegas Lights 1
Los Angeles FC 3
Orange County SC 1
Loudoun United 2
New York City II 1
Colorado Springs 0
New Mexico 4
Real Salt Lake 2
1/8-finals
Sporting Kansas City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Tampa Bay 1
FC Dallas 2
Charleston 0
Atlanta United 1
Indy Eleven 3
Detroit City 0
Sacramento Republic 4
San Jose Earthquakes 3
Seattle Sounders 2
Phoenix Rising 1
Los Angeles FC 3
Loudoun United 0
New York City II 0
New Mexico 3
Quarter-finals
Sporting Kansas City 2
FC Dallas 1
Atlanta United 1
Indy Eleven 2
Sacramento Republic 1
Seattle Sounders 2
Los Angeles FC 3
New Mexico 1
Semi-finals
Sporting Kansas City 2
Indy Eleven 0
Seattle Sounders 0
Los Angeles FC 1
Final
Sporting Kansas City 1
Los Angeles FC 3