Sport Picks
Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights
USA
USL Cup Cardinale Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Monterey Bay host Las Vegas Lights in the USL Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Monterey Bay have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Las Vegas Lights's 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Monterey Bay have won 1 to Las Vegas Lights's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.50) point toward Las Vegas Lights. Las Vegas Lights in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Monterey Bay haven't matched Las Vegas Lights's recent run of results.
- Model gives Monterey Bay a 40% chance of winning this.
- Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monterey Bay | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monterey Bay's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Las Vegas Lights conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Monterey Bay remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Athletic Club Boise | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Monterey Bay | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 6 | Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Springs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | El Paso Locomotive | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Corpus Christi FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Lexington | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Union Omaha | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Detroit City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 6 | Fort Wayne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 7 | Forward Madison | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Brooklyn FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rhode Island | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 5 | New York Cosmos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 6 | Westchester SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleston | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Loudoun United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 5 | Greenville Triumph | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:8 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Miami FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Sporting Jax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Sarasota Paradise | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Naples | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |