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Monterrey U20 vs Club Tijuana U20

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monterrey U20 play Club Tijuana U20 in the Liga MX U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Monterrey U20 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Club Tijuana U20 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Monterrey U20 won 1, Club Tijuana U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Monterrey U20 and 1.31 for Club Tijuana U20. This points to a Monterrey U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Monterrey U20
30%
Draws
30%
Club Tijuana U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monterrey U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Monterrey U20 picked up more points recently compared to Club Tijuana U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Monterrey U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Club Tijuana U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey U20 Club Tijuana U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2023 Liga MX U20
Monterrey U20 vs Club Tijuana U20
0:1
Aug 28, 2022 Liga MX U20
Club Tijuana U20 vs Monterrey U20
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Liga MX U20
Monterrey U20 vs Club Tijuana U20
3:0
Aug 27, 2021 Liga MX U20
Club Tijuana U20 vs Monterrey U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Club Tijuana U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey U20 40 / 100
Club Tijuana U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey U20 Club Tijuana U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Monterrey U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Monterrey U20 attacking → ← attacking Club Tijuana U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey U20 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Club Tijuana U20 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Monterrey U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Club Tijuana U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 30
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guadalajara Chivas U2017105228:1935
2Club America U2017104326:1934
3Atlas U201795336:2232
4Toluca U2017102530:1732
5Tigres UANL U201776424:1727
6Puebla U201773734:3024
7Queretaro U201773729:3024
8Santos Laguna U201780926:2924
9Juarez U201773718:2424
10Necaxa U201765626:2523
11Monterrey U201765620:1923
12Cruz Azul U201757518:1822
13Club Tijuana U201756621:2121
14UNAM Pumas U201755727:2620
15Pachuca U201754827:3019
16Mazatlan U2017521017:3317
17Club Leon U201726919:3012
18Atletico San Luis U2017151115:328