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Monterrey U21 vs Atletico San Luis U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Thu, Mar 26, 2026
3 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Espinosa E.
44' Event
Ayala L.
77' Event
Rangel M.

AI Match Summary

Monterrey U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterrey U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Monterrey U21
15%
Draws
42%
Atletico San Luis U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Monterrey U21 have won more games recently than Atletico San Luis U21.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Monterrey U21 taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Monterrey U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Atletico San Luis U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey U21 Atletico San Luis U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 1 0
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.86 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Atletico San Luis U21
4:1
Mar 26, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Atletico San Luis U21
3:2
Jul 18, 2025 Liga MX U21
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Monterrey U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayala L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Atletico San Luis U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinosa E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rangel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey U21 85 / 100
Atletico San Luis U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey U21 Atletico San Luis U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Defensive concern: Atletico San Luis U21 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Atletico San Luis U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey U21 VS Atletico San Luis U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Atlante U21
5 : 4
Monterrey U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
22 Aug
Club Leon U21
2 : 1
Monterrey U21
Page 1 of 6

Atletico San Luis U21

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
12 Sept
Club Leon U21
3 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)