Sport Picks
Monterrey U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX U21 2025/2026 
Match Events
3'
3'
Serna J.
23'
23'
Calderon L.
41'
41'
Latorre D.
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Guadalajara Chivas U21 have won more games recently than Monterrey U21.
- Model gives Monterrey U21 a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monterrey U21 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
3:4
Nov 8, 2025 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Monterrey U21
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monterrey U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Serna J.
2 Goals Assists Leader De Nigris A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Latorre D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Calderon L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monterrey U21 42 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monterrey U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monterrey U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Guadalajara Chivas U21 conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Monterrey U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Monterrey U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Monterrey U21
(Home) 25 Sept
Atlante U21
5 : 4 Monterrey U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0 Cruz Azul U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2 Tigres UANL U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1 Atletico San Luis U21
22 Aug
Club Leon U21
2 : 1 Monterrey U21
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19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0 Cruz Azul U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2 Tigres UANL U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1 Atletico San Luis U21
15 Aug
Monterrey U21
2 : 1 Juarez U21
18 Jul
Monterrey U21
1 : 2 Santos Laguna U21
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Guadalajara Chivas U21
(Away) 02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4 Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
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19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
16 Aug
Santos Laguna U21
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas U21
31 Jul
Puebla U21
1 : 0 Guadalajara Chivas U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America U21 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 32:20 | 32 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 26:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Juarez U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Monterrey U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 27:25 | 30 |
| 5 | Pachuca U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 30:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Toluca U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 32:22 | 29 |
| 7 | Atlas U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 21:23 | 29 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Club Leon U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 18:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Necaxa U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 23:25 | 26 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 25:24 | 24 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana U21 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 28:23 | 22 |
| 14 | Cruz Azul U21 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Puebla U21 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 17:22 | 20 |
| 16 | Queretaro U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20:27 | 20 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna U21 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:25 | 20 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC U21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 5:31 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
