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Monterrey U21 vs Pachuca U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monterrey U21 host Pachuca U21 in the Liga MX U21. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Pachuca U21 have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Monterrey U21 have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.89. Head-to-head, Monterrey U21 have won 0 to Pachuca U21's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.94) point toward Monterrey U21. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Monterrey U21
15%
Draws
42%
Pachuca U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Monterrey U21 have won more games recently than Pachuca U21.
  • Win probability leans Monterrey U21's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Pachuca U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey U21 Pachuca U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 0 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.89 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Pachuca U21
2:3
Apr 30, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Monterrey U21
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Pachuca U21
0:1
Jul 13, 2025 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Monterrey U21
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey U21 67 / 100
Pachuca U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey U21 Pachuca U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey U21's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pachuca U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Pachuca U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey U21 VS Pachuca U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Atlante U21
5 : 4
Monterrey U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
22 Aug
Club Leon U21
2 : 1
Monterrey U21
Page 1 of 6

Pachuca U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0
Pachuca U21
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1
Club Tijuana U21
11 Sept
Atlante U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)