Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monterrey W vs Atletico San Luis W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Cancha El Barrial, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hernandez-Represa E.
Own Goal
17' Event
Vargas V.
25'
Cano Garcia K. L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Monterrey W and Atletico San Luis W finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Monterrey W
15%
Draws
34%
Atletico San Luis W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monterrey W come out ahead of Atletico San Luis W on wins alone.
  • Monterrey W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Monterrey W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico San Luis W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W Atletico San Luis W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 22 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.72 1.58
Goals Conceded 1 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Atletico San Luis W
6:0
Jul 22, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Monterrey W
0:3
Jan 16, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Monterrey W
1:0
Aug 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Atletico San Luis W
1:0
Apr 23, 2024 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Atletico San Luis W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Atletico San Luis W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 95 / 100
Atletico San Luis W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W Atletico San Luis W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey W scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Atletico San Luis W let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Monterrey W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey W VS Atletico San Luis W
4.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey W

(Home)
03 Oct
Monterrey W
4 : 3
Club America W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
Page 1 of 7

Atletico San Luis W

(Away)
03 Oct
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3
Santos Laguna W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)