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Monterrey W vs Pachuca W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Cancha El Barrial
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mauleon M.
37' Event
Ohale O.
Own Goal
45'
Nieto K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Monterrey W and Pachuca W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Monterrey W
39%
Draws
31%
Pachuca W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pachuca W's 2 goals per match outpaces what Monterrey W have produced (1.63).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 18%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W Pachuca W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W
4:1
May 8, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Monterrey W
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Monterrey W
0:1
Sep 23, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W
0:2
Jul 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burkenroad C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauleon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 31 / 100
Pachuca W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W Pachuca W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Pachuca W let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Monterrey W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey W VS Pachuca W
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Club America W4
Juarez W3
Tigres UANL W2
Toluca W4
Monterrey W5
Cruz Azul W1
Pachuca W3
Guadalajara Chivas W2
Semi-finals
Club America W11
Toluca W4
Monterrey W4
Pachuca W3
Final
Club America W3
Monterrey W1