Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monterrey W vs Pachuca W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Cancha El Barrial, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mauleon M.
37' Event
Ohale O.
Own Goal
45'
Nieto K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Monterrey W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Monterrey W
15%
Draws
14%
Pachuca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Monterrey W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Monterrey W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Monterrey W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pachuca W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 20%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W Pachuca W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.52 2.1
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W
4:1
May 8, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Monterrey W
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Monterrey W
0:1
Sep 23, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W
0:2
Jul 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burkenroad C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauleon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 85 / 100
Pachuca W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W Pachuca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Monterrey W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Pachuca W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey W VS Pachuca W
4.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey W

(Home)
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
29 Aug
Queretaro W
0 : 4
Monterrey W
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Pachuca W

(Away)
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
30 Aug
Tigres UANL W
2 : 0
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Club America W 4
Juarez W 3
Tigres UANL W 2
Toluca W 4
Monterrey W 5
Cruz Azul W 1
Pachuca W 3
Guadalajara Chivas W 2
Semi-finals
Club America W 11
Toluca W 4
Monterrey W 4
Pachuca W 3
Final
Club America W 3
Monterrey W 1