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Monterrey W vs UNAM Pumas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Cancha El Barrial, Santiago
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Garcia D.
Assist: Servin F.
36'
Sub
Daiane In: Fernandez A.
Out: Daiane
46'
Sub
Seoposenwe J. In: Thomas L.
Out: Seoposenwe J.

AI Match Summary

Monterrey W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monterrey W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Monterrey W
30%
Draws
19%
UNAM Pumas W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monterrey W lately — more wins on the board than UNAM Pumas W.
  • Win probability leans Monterrey W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monterrey W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 19%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey W UNAM Pumas W
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 25 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.61 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs UNAM Pumas W
6:0
Apr 2, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs UNAM Pumas W
3:0
Jul 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Monterrey W
4:0
Jan 10, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs UNAM Pumas W
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Monterrey W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bosch L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey W 85 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey W UNAM Pumas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey W's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Monterrey W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

UNAM Pumas W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey W VS UNAM Pumas W
3.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey W

(Home)
31 Oct
Monterrey W
6 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
26 Oct
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2
Monterrey W
18 Oct
Monterrey W
1 : 0
Cruz Azul W
03 Oct
Monterrey W
4 : 3
Club America W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
Page 1 of 8

UNAM Pumas W

(Away)
31 Oct
Monterrey W
6 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
24 Oct
Club Tijuana W
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas W
18 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 0
Atlas W
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 13 11 1 1 48:15 34
2 Tigres UANL W 13 10 2 1 43:12 32
3 Juarez W 12 9 0 3 18:9 27
4 Toluca W 13 8 2 3 29:20 26
5 Club Leon W 12 6 1 5 20:19 19
6 Santos Laguna W 12 5 1 6 14:22 16
7 Cruz Azul W 12 5 0 7 14:24 15
8 Atlante W 12 2 1 9 6:16 7
9 Queretaro W 13 2 0 11 11:31 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 12 10 1 1 54:12 31
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 13 10 0 3 32:13 30
3 Atletico San Luis W 12 6 1 5 24:25 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 13 5 2 6 20:24 17
5 Pachuca W 13 5 1 7 25:17 16
6 Atlas W 13 4 4 5 13:27 16
7 Club Tijuana W 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
8 Puebla W 12 1 1 10 15:42 4
9 Necaxa W 12 0 0 12 3:50 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)