Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montespaccato vs Cassino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ruzic D.
65' Event
Tribelli P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Montespaccato and Cassino finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Montespaccato
20%
Draws
40%
Cassino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Montespaccato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Montespaccato are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 68%
Cassino Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montespaccato Cassino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Cassino
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Montespaccato
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montespaccato Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruzic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cassino Compare

Top Goalscorer Tribelli P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montespaccato 50 / 100
Cassino 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montespaccato Cassino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montespaccato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Montespaccato scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Cassino let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Cassino registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montespaccato VS Cassino
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montespaccato

(Home)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

Cassino

(Away)
03 May
Cassino
0 : 2
Atl. Lodigiani
26 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Cassino
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
02 Apr
Cassino
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)