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Montespaccato vs Latte Dolce

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pinna R.
33' Event
Piredda L.
38' Event
Milone A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Montespaccato and Latte Dolce finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Latte Dolce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Montespaccato
20%
Draws
73%
Latte Dolce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Latte Dolce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Latte Dolce come out ahead of Montespaccato on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Latte Dolce taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 12%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montespaccato Latte Dolce
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 12 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Latte Dolce
2:3
Dec 6, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Montespaccato
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montespaccato Compare

Top Goalscorer Milone A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anello A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Latte Dolce Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinna R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piredda L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montespaccato 19 / 100
Latte Dolce 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montespaccato Latte Dolce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montespaccato's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Latte Dolce let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Montespaccato has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montespaccato VS Latte Dolce
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montespaccato

(Home)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

Latte Dolce

(Away)
08 Aug
Latte Dolce
0 : 2
Sassari Torres
03 May
Budoni Calcio
0 : 0
Latte Dolce
26 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Cassino
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 0
Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)