Sport Picks
Montespaccato vs Sarrabus Ogliastra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 
Match Events
25'
25'
Coratella C.
30'
30'
Feola A.
44'
44'
Rossi A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Montespaccato and Sarrabus Ogliastra finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarrabus Ogliastra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sarrabus Ogliastra come out ahead of Montespaccato on wins alone.
- Montespaccato are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 14%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montespaccato | Sarrabus Ogliastra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Montespaccato
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Montespaccato Compare
Top Goalscorer Coratella C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vitelli R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare
Top Goalscorer Feola A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rossi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Montespaccato 41 / 100
Sarrabus Ogliastra 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Montespaccato Sarrabus Ogliastra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montespaccato scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Sarrabus Ogliastra conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Sarrabus Ogliastra lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Montespaccato VS Sarrabus Ogliastra
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Montespaccato
(Home) 03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4 Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0 Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3 Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2 Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
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03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4 Flaminia
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3 Latte Dolce
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Atl. Lodigiani
22 Mar
Montespaccato
2 : 2 Sarrabus Ogliastra
01 Mar
Montespaccato
1 : 1 Cassino
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Sarrabus Ogliastra
(Away) 07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0 Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0 Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2 Certosa V. Campagnano
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07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0 Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0 Sarrabus Ogliastra
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scafatese | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 75:23 | 87 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64:46 | 60 |
| 3 | Monastir | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:44 | 53 |
| 4 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Albalonga | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 55:55 | 50 |
| 6 | Latte Dolce | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:49 | 48 |
| 7 | Valmontone | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:50 | 48 |
| 8 | Nocerina | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 36:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Budoni Calcio | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:32 | 45 |
| 11 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Atl. Lodigiani | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:40 | 44 |
| 13 | Ischia | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 36:52 | 43 |
| 14 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 15 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39:58 | 36 |
| 16 | Olbia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 39:50 | 36 |
| 17 | Montespaccato | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 47:58 | 30 |
| 18 | Cassino | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:55 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)
