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Monteux W vs Chatenoy W

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Division 2 Women 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Division 2 Women 2010/2011 game between Monteux W and Chatenoy W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Monteux W
20%
Draws
48%
Chatenoy W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chatenoy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Monteux W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Monteux W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Monteux W Clean Sheet 10%
Chatenoy W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monteux W Chatenoy W
Matches Played 42 33
Wins 21 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.74 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.86 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2012 Seconde Ligue Women
Chatenoy W vs Monteux W
2:5
Dec 11, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Monteux W vs Chatenoy W
3:0
Mar 27, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Monteux W vs Chatenoy W
2:2
Nov 14, 2010 Seconde Ligue Women
Chatenoy W vs Monteux W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monteux W 29 / 100
Chatenoy W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monteux W Chatenoy W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monteux W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatenoy W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Monteux W scored in 79% of their last 42 games.

Away concern: Chatenoy W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monteux W VS Chatenoy W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.67
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Monteux W

(Home)
22 May
Macon W
1 : 1
Monteux W
08 May
Monteux W
1 : 4
Grenoble W
23 Apr
Aurillac W
4 : 0
Monteux W
10 Apr
Monteux W
0 : 1
Marseille W
03 Apr
Nivolas W
1 : 1
Monteux W
Page 1 of 9

Chatenoy W

(Away)
25 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2
Caen W
11 Jan
Troyes W
1 : 3
Chatenoy W
12 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2
Cannes W
27 May
Veore Montoison W
3 : 1
Chatenoy W
20 May
Chatenoy W
2 : 5
Monteux W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vendenheim W 22 20 1 1 64:15 83
2 Dijon W 22 13 5 4 40:21 66
3 Arras W 22 12 5 5 40:30 63
4 Bagneux W 22 10 10 2 41:16 62
5 Mars Bischheim W 22 11 4 7 36:38 59
6 Gravelines W 22 8 5 9 33:32 51
7 Metz W 22 8 5 9 34:31 51
8 Compiegne Club Oise W 22 7 6 9 26:33 49
9 Rouen W 22 5 5 12 25:35 42
10 Cormelles W 22 6 1 15 30:49 41
11 Leers OS W 22 3 6 13 23:47 37
12 Lille W 22 1 3 18 21:66 28
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2011/2012 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Soyaux W 22 17 2 3 69:18 75
2 Issy W 22 15 3 4 54:33 70
3 Conde-sur-Noireau W 22 13 4 5 54:26 65
4 Montigny-le-Bretonneux W 22 13 1 8 56:42 62
5 Orvault W 22 10 5 7 46:32 57
6 Angers W 22 9 2 11 40:45 51
7 USC Corne W 22 8 5 9 32:37 51
8 Rennes W 22 7 2 13 23:43 45
9 Tours W 22 6 5 11 31:53 45
10 Bordeaux W 22 6 3 13 28:45 43
11 Merignac W 22 6 1 15 35:56 41
12 Limoges Landouge Foot W 22 5 1 16 28:66 38
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2011/2012 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Muretaine W 22 17 5 0 77:21 78
2 Monteux W 22 13 6 3 47:19 67
3 Albi-Marssac W 22 12 6 4 54:21 64
4 Veore Montoison W 22 10 6 6 41:39 58
5 Grenoble W 22 9 5 8 41:26 54
6 Macon W 22 9 5 8 29:30 54
7 Nimes W 22 8 6 8 20:20 52
8 Aurillac W 22 8 3 11 35:47 49
9 US Blanzy Foot W 22 7 2 13 44:66 45
10 Chatenoy W 22 4 7 11 25:59 41
11 Besancon RC W 22 5 3 14 27:48 40
12 Aulnat Sportif W 22 1 4 17 21:65 29
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2011/2012 (Main)