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Montevarchi vs Massese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group E 2018/2019 Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
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AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2018/2019 game between Montevarchi and Massese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montevarchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Montevarchi
20%
Draws
10%
Massese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montevarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Montevarchi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Montevarchi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 20%
Massese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevarchi Massese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 1
Draws 13 8
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 0.94 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Massese
2:0
Dec 23, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Massese vs Montevarchi
0:2
Apr 10, 2005 Lega Pro C2/B
Montevarchi vs Massese
0:0
Dec 8, 2004 Lega Pro C2/B
Massese vs Montevarchi
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevarchi 85 / 100
Massese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevarchi Massese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevarchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Massese conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Montevarchi scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Montevarchi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montevarchi VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevarchi

(Home)
04 Oct
Ternana
4 : 1
Montevarchi
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0
SCD Progresso
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
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Massese

(Away)
05 May
Montevarchi
2 : 0
Massese
28 Apr
Massese
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
18 Apr
Ghiviborgo
3 : 0
Massese
14 Apr
Massese
0 : 0
Viareggio
07 Apr
Scandicci
2 : 0
Massese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 38 21 11 6 58:21 74
2 FC Ponsacco 38 20 13 5 61:27 73
3 Seravezza Pozzi 38 19 8 11 62:42 65
4 Follonica Gavorrano 38 18 10 10 49:34 64
5 Montevarchi 38 18 10 10 49:38 64
6 San Donato Tavarnelle 38 16 15 7 51:32 63
7 Ghiviborgo 38 16 12 10 50:37 60
8 Tuttocuoio 38 15 10 13 43:43 55
9 Prato 38 15 10 13 50:48 54
10 Cannara 38 12 15 11 33:38 51
11 Sporting Trestina 38 13 11 14 39:40 50
12 Aglianese Calcio 38 10 16 12 43:52 46
13 Real Forte Querceta 38 12 10 16 42:54 46
14 Sangiovannese 38 11 12 15 36:41 45
15 Bastia Calcio 38 12 9 17 45:56 45
16 Scandicci 38 11 10 17 44:53 43
17 Viareggio 38 8 13 17 42:50 37
18 UC Sinalunghese 38 8 13 17 30:54 37
19 Sangimignano Sport 38 8 12 18 22:51 36
20 Massese 38 2 10 26 26:64 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2018/2019 (Play Offs)