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Stadium Background

Montevarchi vs Prato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Montevarchi and Prato finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Montevarchi
33%
Draws
40%
Prato
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Prato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Prato a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 20%
Prato Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevarchi Prato
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 19
Draws 14 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Montevarchi
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Prato
0:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Prato vs Montevarchi
2:1
Sep 16, 2020 Club Friendly
Montevarchi vs Prato
1:1
Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Prato
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevarchi 28 / 100
Prato 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevarchi Prato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Montevarchi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Montevarchi scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Prato conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Montevarchi VS Prato
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevarchi

(Home)
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0
Montevarchi
12 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6

Prato

(Away)
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Prato
19 Apr
Prato
1 : 0
Grosseto
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)