Sport Picks
Montevarchi vs Sasso Marconi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
AI Match Summary
Montevarchi host Sasso Marconi in the Serie D - Group E. This one's hard to separate. Montevarchi have averaged 0.94 scored and 0.74 conceded recently, against Sasso Marconi's 1.11 scored and 1.54 conceded. Past meetings favor Sasso Marconi slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 7, 2018, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Montevarchi. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Montevarchi lately — more wins on the board than Sasso Marconi.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Montevarchi | Sasso Marconi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sasso Marconi conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Montevarchi scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Montevarchi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Montevarchi
(Home)Sasso Marconi
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Follonica Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 5 | Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | SCD Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:17 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:16 | 2 |
