Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montevideo City vs Albion

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ginella F.
22'
Wurth V.
40'
Romero A.

AI Match Summary

Albion in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Montevideo City
20%
Draws
11%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montevideo City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montevideo City lately — more wins on the board than Albion.
  • Win probability leans Montevideo City's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%
Albion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montevideo City Albion
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.44 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Montevideo City
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Albion
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Segunda Division
Albion vs Montevideo City
2:1
Jun 5, 2024 Segunda Division
Montevideo City vs Albion
2:2
Sep 3, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Montevideo City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montevideo City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Ginella F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montevideo City 59 / 100
Albion 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montevideo City Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montevideo City found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Albion has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Montevideo City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montevideo City VS Albion
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Montevideo City

(Home)
15 Aug
Juventud
0 : 1
Montevideo City
12 Aug
Tigre
0 : 1
Montevideo City
31 Jul
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Wanderers
24 Jul
Montevideo City
1 : 0
Danubio
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
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Albion

(Away)
15 Aug
CA Cerro
2 : 1
Albion
08 Aug
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Albion
01 Aug
Albion
2 : 2
Danubio
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Montevideo 15 9 4 2 23:14 31
2 Maldonado 15 9 2 4 24:16 29
3 Albion 15 8 4 3 26:16 28
4 Penarol 15 8 3 4 23:16 27
5 Central Esp. 15 7 3 5 23:22 24
6 Montevideo City 15 6 5 4 22:16 23
7 Club Nacional 15 7 1 7 26:21 22
8 Defensor Sp. 15 5 6 4 13:11 21
9 Liverpool M. 15 5 5 5 20:18 20
10 Wanderers 15 6 2 7 16:21 20
11 Danubio 15 4 6 5 17:21 18
12 Cerro Largo 15 5 2 8 16:19 17
13 Boston River 15 5 2 8 14:20 17
14 Juventud 15 4 3 8 17:22 15
15 Progreso 15 2 4 9 12:23 10
16 CA Cerro 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)